Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.036409 0.039805 0.043248 0.046996 0.050952 0.054998 0.059442
2025-08-10 0.029230 0.034012 0.039054 0.044739 0.050947 0.057496 0.064900
2025-08-17 0.024754 0.030494 0.036760 0.044048 0.052234 0.061088 0.071334
2025-08-24 0.021270 0.027655 0.034854 0.043464 0.053376 0.064328 0.077247
2025-08-31 0.019503 0.026559 0.034734 0.044737 0.056481 0.069679 0.085478
2025-09-07 0.017843 0.025399 0.034382 0.045607 0.059023 0.074325 0.092880
2025-09-14 0.016281 0.024200 0.033850 0.046147 0.061089 0.078362 0.099550
2025-09-21 0.014748 0.022894 0.033065 0.046278 0.062583 0.081672 0.105338
2025-09-28 0.013928 0.022433 0.033272 0.047576 0.065451 0.086590 0.113019
2025-10-05 0.012408 0.020909 0.032018 0.046953 0.065893 0.088555 0.117161
2025-10-12 0.011331 0.019906 0.031366 0.047028 0.067148 0.091464 0.122411
2025-10-19 0.010562 0.019273 0.031153 0.047628 0.069030 0.095121 0.128560
2025-10-26 0.009999 0.018920 0.031320 0.048751 0.071630 0.099740 0.135995
2025-11-02 0.008530 0.017099 0.029372 0.046988 0.070470 0.099660 0.137663
2025-11-09 0.007618 0.016053 0.028444 0.046538 0.070967 0.101621 0.141830
2025-11-16 0.006788 0.015060 0.027532 0.046060 0.071385 0.103458 0.145830
2025-11-23 0.006535 0.014996 0.027966 0.047445 0.074277 0.108452 0.153800
2025-11-30 0.006185 0.014738 0.028090 0.048381 0.076566 0.112681 0.160831
2025-12-07 0.005775 0.014338 0.027974 0.048957 0.078361 0.116278 0.167076
2025-12-14 0.005298 0.013775 0.027574 0.049100 0.079552 0.119086 0.172326
2025-12-21 0.005124 0.013753 0.028010 0.050453 0.082403 0.124067 0.180364
2025-12-28 0.004544 0.012912 0.027106 0.049807 0.082474 0.125398 0.183733
2026-01-04 0.004158 0.012405 0.026708 0.049886 0.083534 0.128019 0.188756